Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.095285 0.105715 0.116328 0.127907 0.140155 0.152699 0.166492
2025-05-25 0.079482 0.095419 0.112365 0.131597 0.152692 0.175012 0.200298
2025-06-01 0.065444 0.084288 0.105108 0.129517 0.157066 0.186940 0.221531
2025-06-08 0.054688 0.075229 0.098728 0.127072 0.159840 0.196093 0.238804
2025-06-15 0.049162 0.071469 0.097729 0.130121 0.168266 0.211104 0.262218
2025-06-22 0.043959 0.067475 0.095930 0.131773 0.174693 0.223541 0.282476
2025-06-29 0.040925 0.065829 0.096674 0.136200 0.184172 0.239346 0.306490
2025-07-06 0.036772 0.062322 0.094782 0.137148 0.189292 0.249916 0.324341
2025-07-13 0.036619 0.064066 0.099474 0.146183 0.204141 0.271939 0.355582
2025-07-20 0.031979 0.059267 0.095441 0.144059 0.205226 0.277526 0.367461
2025-07-27 0.030144 0.058244 0.096219 0.147924 0.213586 0.291742 0.389497
2025-08-03 0.027414 0.055683 0.094768 0.148782 0.218113 0.301285 0.405948
2025-08-10 0.025781 0.054777 0.095684 0.152948 0.227121 0.316689 0.429977
2025-08-17 0.023846 0.053271 0.095707 0.155936 0.234703 0.330471 0.452243
2025-08-24 0.020471 0.049137 0.091776 0.153438 0.235119 0.335337 0.463649
2025-08-31 0.017412 0.045172 0.087824 0.150696 0.235050 0.339477 0.474077
2025-09-07 0.016254 0.044338 0.088380 0.154068 0.242885 0.353423 0.496470
2025-09-14 0.014821 0.042861 0.087874 0.155896 0.248653 0.364769 0.515683
2025-09-21 0.014220 0.042854 0.089569 0.160793 0.258471 0.381223 0.541218
2025-09-28 0.012821 0.041178 0.088591 0.161840 0.263142 0.391168 0.558730
2025-10-05 0.013408 0.043444 0.093831 0.171814 0.279782 0.416335 0.595155
2025-10-12 0.011457 0.040416 0.090563 0.169472 0.279857 0.420432 0.605444
2025-10-19 0.010929 0.040264 0.091870 0.173732 0.288819 0.435863 0.629848